Share this article

       Rochedale South Community Crime Update - August 2025


If you are new to the group, you will notice that every few months, Neighbourhood Crime Watchers – Community Intelligence, team reviews verified Queensland Police Service (QPS) crime data alongside local reports from residents NCWs watchers. We share this data to help our community understand what’s really happening. Trends, highs and lows are the focus. Together, these tell a story of patterns, spikes, and slowdowns how our area ebbs and flows over time. By digging deeper into the data, we learn what preventions to put in place.


1. HEADLINE NUMBERS

• Last 2 Years: 932 offences (8 Aug 2023 – 7 Aug 2025) average ≈ 38.8 per month

• Last Year: 443 offences (8 Aug 2024 – 7 Aug 2025) average ≈ 36.9 per month

• Last 6 Months: 235 offences (8 Feb 2025 – 7 Aug 2025) — average ≈ 39.2 per month


Trend Insight:

The overall rate looks steady, but the rhythm tells a different story. Short surges appear roughly every 8–10 weeks, followed by calm periods that can be misleading. Our community is stable on paper, but activity spikes are sharper and closer together than before.


2. OFFENCE MIX

Last 6 Months – Top Counts

Other Theft 77 | Unlawful Entry 43 | Drug 19 | Assault 19 | Traffic 17 | UUMV 14 | Damage 10 | Trespass 9 | Fraud 6 | Other Person 6 | Good Order 4 | Handling 4 | Robbery 3 | Weapons 2 | Arson 2

Total 235


Last Year – Top Counts

Other Theft 129 | Unlawful Entry 84 | Assault 41 | Drug 38 | Damage 34 | Traffic 31 | UUMV 23 | Fraud 12 | Trespass 11 | Other Person 11 | Good Order 7 | Robbery 7 | Handling 5 | Arson 5 | Weapons 4 | Misc. 1.

Total 443


Understanding the pattern:

Theft and unlawful entry are steady drivers, but every six months a new category rises. In early 2025, drug and assault offences increased sharply. By mid-year, vehicle crimes and property damage became dominant. This shows that criminal behaviour shifts under pressure, adapting to where community attention and police focus are strongest.

3. Seasonal and Weekly Fluctuations

• Crime peaks in April, dips in July, and often climbs again mid-spring.

• April’s rise corresponded with longer evenings and increased social activity.

• July’s fall links to winter conditions and reduced street movement.

• Tuesdays and Saturdays continue to show the highest incident volume.

• These patterns prove that crime is not random here it has a rhythm tied to season, daylight, and routine.


Interpretation:

These are not isolated dots. They form a corridor of recurring activity that runs from Rochedale Rd through the residential network around Watland St and Barbarella St all the way through to Chatswood Hills. This movement reflects how offenders travel through quiet back streets and connector roads, exploiting areas with limited surveillance or lighting.


5. SEVERITY OVERVIEW

• High Harm: 13.6% (Assault, Robbery, Weapons, Arson, etc.)

• Serious Acquisitive: 28.5% (Unlawful Entry, UUMV, Handling, Fraud)

• Volume/Opportunity: 57.9% (Theft, Trespass, Property Damage, Traffic, Drug)


While serious violence remains rare, the steady rise in low-to-mid-level offences shows persistent community disruption.

It is the smaller, more frequent crimes that shape how safe people feel day to day.


6. COMMUNITY INTELLIGENCE – WHAT RESIDENTS ARE Reporting

• Most suspicious activity occurs during the evening and early morning hours.

• Daylight thefts are slightly increasing, especially bikes, tools, and parcels.

• Reconnaissance behaviour is more refined: vehicles doing short, quiet passes, mismatched plates, and consistent scouting patterns.

• September is looking concerning with the rise in Assaults, Weapons and Break & Enters in the Rochedale area. Hence the launch of Rochedale Neighbourhood Crime Watchers (RNCW)


The NCW Community Response


Community vigilance works. Local intelligence from residents and patrollers has directly influenced police presence on at least 3 high-risk streets this quarter. Awareness and reporting are changing outcomes.


What does it all mean?

It means that Rochedale South’s crime rate has remained relatively stable, but beneath that surface are ongoing fluctuations, short bursts, quiet dips, and cycles of repeated offences.


Understanding these rhythms is what allows us to anticipate, respond, and protect one another. Every resident plays a role in flattening the peaks and lengthening the calm. These figures do not include September’s counts, which will be reviewed and shared once verified.


Thank you everyone for your diligence and communication.


Policelink: 131 444 | Online: 

Crime Stoppers: 1800 333 000 | 

Report Online at:  https://www.police.qld.gov.au/policelink-reporting

Once a police report is made, you can submit Community Intelligence at: myncwcomintelligence@gmail.com



Kind Regards.


The Intelligence Team.

myncwcomintelligence@gmail.com


Recent Posts

19 December 2025
ARNIE CASE UPDATE by Katharina Loesche - Neighbourhood Crime Watchers (NCW) team already being heavily involved in stolen car reports linked to youth offenders.
(NCW) Crime Intelligence Snapshot covering June to December 2025
By Damion Douglass 16 December 2025
(NCW) Crime Intelligence Snapshot covering June to December 2025
©️We speak for the voiceless. Copyright 2025
25 November 2025
Dear communities across Australia, I’m going to level with you, because dancing around the truth helps no one. This past week has been heavy for a lot of us. Many people still don’t understand the sheer effort, resources and heart that went into searching for Arnie. His death didn’t just hurt, it exposed something uncomfortable. Something many of us have felt sitting in our chest ever since. First, the heart. The real heart. People who never met Arnie walked kilometres through scrub. You drove backstreets, gave up sleep, missed time with your kids, stepped away from partners, spent your own fuel money, postponed holidays, shared posts, checked your CCTV and kept turning up. Strangers moved like family. That kind of spirit is rare and worth protecting. But then there’s the other side, and this part I refuse to sugar-coat. Since Arnie’s story went public, something ugly has been growing. People turning his death into a product. Songs. AI content. “Tribute” merch. Page sales. We now have political parties trying to capitalise on the attention. Where were they during the search? Look into who you are handing money over too. Look at who is organising events and vigils. Who is managing the Page pr Group? Ask questions. Dig deeper. Understand intentions before you hand over trust, money and time. Trust us, we have learned the hard way. What is happening here is wrong. It is shameless. It is un-Australian. And it spits in the face of every volunteer who gave everything and expected nothing. I am not writing this to glorify NCW or highlight what we do. Those who care enough to look, know.. I am writing this because this type of passive online manipulative behaviour, is not the way forward for ARNIE nor any other Victim of Crime, and it needs to be called out for what it is. Absolute bullshit . If you are using Arnie’s death to make money, gain followers, build influence or ride this tragedy for your own agenda, hear this clearly. You will be called out. You will be named. Not out of anger, but out of duty to the people who acted with integrity and heart. This is why the ARNIE Initiative exists. Animal Response and Neighbourhood Intelligence Exchange. This initiative was built by the people who were actually on the ground searching and watching online for any hint of evidence. People with soul. Pet lovers, Lost and Found groups, community volunteers , NCW teams , the RSPCA and Off-Duty Police and Rescue persons. No one charged a cent. No one asked for anything. Everyone moved because it was the right thing to do, for ARNIE . So here is my ask. Look deeper before you donate to anything. Do not hand your money over to people cashing in on grief. Those in grief will never ask that of you. Your voice matters more than your wallet. Please remember... You don’t buy your way into Parliament. You get through those doors with integrity, truth and a community that refuses to be bought. Real change is driven by people, proof and purpose, not profit made from death. Be a voice for Arnie. Speak up for the voiceless. No money necessary. Thank you. Damion Douglass Neighbourhood Crime Watchers - Community Intelligence #ARNIE #NCW #ForArnie #CommunityStrong
By Damion Douglass 18 November 2025
“NCW Makes QLD History with the State’s First Community Intelligence Capability”
By Damion Douglass 18 November 2025
“Don't Fu## with Pets" - NCW
By Damion Douglass 12 November 2025
Including Rochedale South, Rochedale, SW QPS Division, UMG QPS Division, TRENDS & Watcher Analysis.